{"uid":"cap_OwNc6znJpga33ZjGDCg4U","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-41243aaf","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_aYPwH8mNqpq4MRsOJqrZw","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025, including current trading volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that Ethereum gets a spot ETF approved in the US — show me the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is trading on it?"},{"title":"Macro recession probability monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market data for a US recession in 2025 — I want the current implied probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI regulation odds for investment research","prompt":"Check Polymarket's live orderbook for the probability of major AI regulation passing in the US this year — I need the Yes/No odds and trading volume for my research report."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities as percentages, current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for the queried event or topic.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket markets — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match results","Polymarket API or upstream data feed is unavailable — returns error or stale data","Payment not processed via x402 — returns HTTP 402 Payment Required","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — returns HTTP 429"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is preferable to static news or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities with volume and sentiment signals. Best suited for agents doing investment research, event-driven trading analysis, or real-time probability monitoring.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:48.754Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}