{"uid":"cap_Ov8JVCbcLQb2oPAgcDjh2","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-87679105","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_uZEHPl8wlzDrq_PkmQne4","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening in 2025, including whale sentiment and trading volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum will hit $10,000 by end of year — and is there strong whale activity on either side?"},{"title":"Macro policy market odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting, including the Yes/No probabilities and recent volume."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market query","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the chances of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? I want the implied probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators — giving a real-time crowd-sourced probability estimate for the event in question.","failureModes":["Topic string too vague or not matching any active Polymarket market — returns empty or no-match result","Polymarket API or data feed temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or error","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.01 USDC per call via x402","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — repeated rapid calls may be throttled","Market no longer active or resolved — odds may not be available for expired markets"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market — especially when you want implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook depth, volume, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want market-priced consensus rather than qualitative opinion. Best suited for agents doing real-time risk assessment, trading research, or event-driven decision support.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:36:45.195Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}