{"uid":"cap_OMg8T5NXeQl-Acy0weYYU","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-42ff47f7","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_wNT0A52APSNKEXsyFB6VD","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability right now for the US entering a recession in 2025 — include trading volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto regulatory odds check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the US passing a crypto spot ETF bill this year — I want to see the Yes/No percentages and current trading volume."},{"title":"Election outcome probability tracker","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability for the next US presidential election winner? Give me the orderbook odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active prediction markets on AI regulation or an AI safety bill passing in 2025 — show me the live Yes/No odds and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic string too vague to match specific markets — returns multiple ambiguous results","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causes stale or failed data fetch","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment header is missing or invalid"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over news APIs or sentiment tools when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money, orderbook depth, and whale activity rather than social sentiment or editorial forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:59.952Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}