{"uid":"cap_OHMWFMv9kiGjXaE5Apy5F","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-19295940","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_HBqFhNcalHuTLDqWa6xxO","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event by keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'will the Fed cut rates in 2025' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin hits $150k before the end of 2025? Give me the Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro policy market monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook for 'US recession in 2025' — I want the implied probabilities, volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI event odds lookup","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket currently betting for the odds that OpenAI releases GPT-5 this year? Show me the yes/no probabilities and current volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream data fetch failure","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most liquid or first match","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment not completed before request","Stale or low-liquidity market returned if topic is niche or thinly traded"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need live, real-money crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket — especially when you want not just the odds but also volume and whale sentiment as conviction signals. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified probability rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:17.669Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}