{"uid":"cap_NzOEEAikZOlqdZtafYena","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-68445cf1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_uwSJPZhWq86we0G796Q8b","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that the Fed cuts interest rates before September 2025 — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any notable whale sentiment.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds that Bitcoin crosses $150k by end of 2025? I want the implied Yes probability and recent volume."},{"title":"Macro policy betting sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the US enters a recession in 2025 — I want to see what traders are actually pricing in right now, including any big whale positions."},{"title":"AI regulation market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around AI regulation or the EU AI Act passing this year and give me the current Yes/No probabilities and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), 24h trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is rate-limited or temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return multiple results requiring disambiguation","Payment failure via x402 — endpoint returns HTTP 402 if USDC micropayment not completed","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity or sparse orderbook data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from active prediction market traders on Polymarket, especially for macro, crypto, or AI policy events. It is preferable over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual capital at risk, and over static data sources when freshness and whale-activity signals matter.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:43.640Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}