{"uid":"cap_NmbuToLL-CDYFTTCRuuWY","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-fd5c6c05","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_kon0rSZ05IkrA6JPPw5Ov","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the Fed cutting interest rates this year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Tracking election outcome probabilities","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election winner? I want to see the Yes/No breakdown and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Crypto event market monitoring","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket prediction market for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — show me the implied probability, volume, and how big traders are positioned."},{"title":"Macro policy probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US recession happening in 2025? Give me the full odds, volume, and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response including live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes and No probabilities expressed as percentages, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["Topic not found on Polymarket — returns empty or no matching markets","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or partial results","Polymarket API unavailability causes upstream data fetch failure","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — call not executed if x402 payment fails","Stale or low-liquidity market — volume and whale sentiment fields may be empty or unreliable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market — especially when you want implied odds, orderbook depth, trading volume, and large-trader (whale) sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-priced probability rather than opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:12.368Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}