{"uid":"cap_NlBHR46aaBzLtrXskfW0G","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aa6c89ba","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Aloj0w1hVcS4xvAipc1LI","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability right now for a US recession in 2025 — including volume and whether whales are leaning Yes or No?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election winner — I want to see volume and whale sentiment too."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the implied probability and any big-money positioning."},{"title":"Crypto event prediction odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current market odds on Bitcoin hitting $100k this year — what's the implied probability, volume, and are whales leaning Yes or No?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), 24h trading volume, and whale/large-order sentiment signals for the relevant prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Topic query too vague to identify a specific market — may return multiple or unrelated markets","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned","Rate limiting if called too frequently in quick succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money, orderbook depth, and whale positioning data. Best suited for agents doing risk assessment, event-driven trading research, or probability-weighted decision making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:46.750Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}