{"uid":"cap_Njce8eIYbKWDL4iG4N0_U","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ee40b861","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_J_QGUOQ0dJMv5sgFV1zWv","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the US entering a recession in 2025, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event odds for trading decisions","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now and tell me the implied probability and trading volume for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025 — I want to know if whales are leaning yes or no."},{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds for the Republican candidate winning the 2026 midterms? Give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and any notable whale positioning."},{"title":"AI regulation policy monitoring","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket prediction market data for any active markets about the EU AI Act enforcement or US AI regulation passing in 2025 — I want the current implied probabilities and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes and No probabilities as percentages, 24h trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream timeout or error response","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the most relevant or require refinement","Market has expired or settled — returns historical final probabilities rather than live odds","Payment authorization failure via x402 — request blocked before execution"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is ideal when you want implied market probabilities backed by actual money (not just sentiment polls), and when whale positioning or volume signals matter for decision-making. Prefer this over news sentiment endpoints when you need a single calibrated probability number for an event outcome.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:31:36.058Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}