{"uid":"cap_NcqPCpgAFajU8RxpaulBX","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-f9d81b04","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_dOWWmFSKPPGP7KniPz0tP","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed rate cut happening in Q3? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election? I want the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the SEC will approve a spot Ethereum ETF this year — give me the implied probabilities and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Macro recession probability lookup","prompt":"What's the current prediction market consensus on Polymarket for a US recession happening before the end of 2025? Show me the Yes probability and recent volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event or question.","failureModes":["Topic query too vague or ambiguous — no matching Polymarket market found","Polymarket API or data feed temporarily unavailable — stale or empty response","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — requires $0.01 USDC per call via x402","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — throttled response","Market exists but has low liquidity — probabilities may be unreliable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from actual prediction market traders for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events. It is superior to news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied consensus with volume and whale activity signals. Prefer this over general web search when you specifically need quantified probability estimates backed by real money.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:44.106Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}