{"uid":"cap_NR7bHNOYj6h6LnAsj_lIF","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-84ca389a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_9YCP0bKByULYIBxYoq_Ly","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic keyword or event question","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Bitcoin ETF approval, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of a US Federal Reserve rate cut happening in Q3? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory betting odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for a Solana spot ETF approval — I want to see the Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"AI milestone market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around GPT-5 or a major AI model release this year and tell me the current implied odds and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No percentage probabilities, total trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for the queried event topic or keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic string too vague or ambiguous, returning unrelated markets","Polymarket API or upstream data feed temporarily unavailable, causing stale or missing data","Rate limiting or payment failure (x402) blocking the request","Market may be resolved/closed, returning historical rather than live data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates and trader sentiment for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced specifically from Polymarket's orderbook data. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money, volume signals, and whale activity rather than social media sentiment or analyst forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:20:36.573Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}