{"uid":"cap_NQUqxVB0jH3kdZvgMzlOw","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-bd30f36d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_GWq07LDUfClONNHFm1Qg4","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability right now for a Fed interest rate cut in 2025 — and is there any unusual whale activity on that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $100K this year — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and how much volume has traded on that market."},{"title":"Election outcome sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election? Include any whale sentiment if available."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live odds on any AI regulation or executive order event — I want to know what the crowd thinks the probability is right now."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position activity on the relevant prediction market.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Topic string too vague or ambiguous, resulting in mismatched or irrelevant market results","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or missing data","Rate limiting or payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not properly handled","Whale sentiment unavailable for low-volume or illiquid markets"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events as reflected in Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over news sentiment or traditional forecasting APIs when you want market-priced, financially-staked probabilities rather than qualitative opinion. Ideal for trading bots, research agents, or decision-support systems that need live prediction market intelligence.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:01.710Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}