{"uid":"cap_NQMRtb2z6zIxdV1DTpekM","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1e87d4b0","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Q0dx7BGA8M0Dq4OVzOZhq","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price target probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Ethereum surpassing $5,000 this quarter — I want the implied Yes probability, No probability, and any whale sentiment data."},{"title":"Macro event prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US recession being declared in 2025? Give me the live orderbook probabilities and volume."},{"title":"AI policy event odds tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on AI regulation or an AI executive order being signed this year and tell me the current Yes/No implied probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No active Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return the wrong or a low-liquidity market","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causes stale or missing data","Very niche or newly created markets may have thin orderbooks and unreliable probabilities","x402 payment failure or insufficient USDC balance causes request rejection"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for binary outcomes in macro, crypto, or AI events. Prefer it over traditional news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probability rather than editorial opinion, and when the question maps naturally to a Polymarket prediction market (yes/no event with a defined resolution date).","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:27.021Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}