{"uid":"cap_NASfeGNYZUFrccJDmugKw","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-521bf9c5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_YbIuf2s910WrgTOmyDFts","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for 'Will the US enter a recession in 2025?' — I want the implied yes/no probability and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Crypto price prediction market","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of the year? Give me the orderbook-implied probability and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Election outcome odds monitoring","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market odds on who wins the next US presidential election — I want the current yes/no probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return an aggregated or first-matched result","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causes stale or failed data retrieval","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if USDC balance is insufficient for the $0.01 per-call fee","Overly broad topic query returns low-confidence or irrelevant market matches"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money, orderbook depth, and whale positioning rather than editorial opinion or social sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:31:41.284Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}