{"uid":"cap_N3cE6CPON27lgucCFuRaR","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-28360a08","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Ing_YouISXndjli6bHmIX","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Bitcoin ETF approval this year — including current volume and what the big traders are leaning toward?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election? I want the live Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto price event betting odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook and implied probability for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by end of 2025 — include whale sentiment if available."},{"title":"Fed rate cut prediction market","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice before the end of this year? Give me the implied probability and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic string too vague to match a specific market — may return multiple or ambiguous results","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or failed data fetch","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response before data is returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded for high-frequency polling"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. It is ideal for agents that need market-implied probabilities rather than model-generated forecasts, especially when whale sentiment and orderbook depth are relevant. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want monetarily-backed probability signals rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:46.241Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}