{"uid":"cap_MrZMbv_wCy0X5sm4seeSe","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e5027cf6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_VgnhZvdIn6aegZWYMSDjM","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for Polymarket prediction markets on macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut interest rates in 2025?' — include orderbook volume and whale sentiment.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2026 midterms? Include the Yes/No odds and recent trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook for 'Bitcoin spot ETF approval' and tell me the current implied Yes probability and whether whale wallets are positioned Yes or No."},{"title":"AI milestone market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets about GPT-5 or a major AI model launch in 2025 and give me the current odds, volume, and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including the current implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), orderbook depth, cumulative trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return multiple results requiring disambiguation","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting upstream — endpoint may return error or stale data","Very new or niche markets may have thin orderbooks and unreliable implied probabilities","Payment required error (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC payment is not properly attached"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for binary macro, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want orderbook depth and whale positioning rather than just a simple price quote. It is ideal for agents conducting market research, building dashboards, or making decisions that depend on the market's consensus probability for a future event.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:22.850Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}