{"uid":"cap_MrG5xcDn_9FjinrKzh3eD","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ccaf9d0c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Htx0XCRYrrv32DIPdqnSQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probability that the Fed cuts interest rates in September? I also want to see the trading volume and whale sentiment on that market.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of Ethereum reaching $10k this year? Give me the implied Yes/No odds and any whale activity you can see."},{"title":"Election odds monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied probabilities for each candidate and the current trading volume."},{"title":"Macro risk assessment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability of a US recession in 2025 — I want to see the Yes/No odds and whether big traders are leaning one way."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword does not match any active Polymarket market — returns empty or no results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return the wrong market data","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable — upstream error returned","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — request blocked until microtransaction is completed","Market has resolved or expired — data may reflect final settled odds rather than live trading"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and orderbook depth, or when you need whale/large-trader positioning signals alongside raw odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:25.337Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}