{"uid":"cap_Mi1pkElhRkVZvFsVsiLmm","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e3dce1fa","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_K9aMbUsh-MuCpxOyDHScU","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025'? Pull the orderbook and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for a Republican presidential win in 2025? I want the implied Yes and No probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — give me the implied probability, volume, and orderbook data."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability that the EU AI Act enforcement triggers a major fine in 2025? I want the latest Yes/No odds and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most relevant or require a more specific query","Payment not completed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.01 USDC per call via x402 protocol"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's decentralized prediction markets, especially for macro, political, crypto, or AI events. Prefer this over traditional financial data APIs when you want implied market consensus and whale sentiment rather than price feeds. Best suited for agents that need live, on-chain-derived probability signals for decision-making or reporting.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:22.966Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}