{"uid":"cap_MenttD9XejE0oG5pmBB3B","slug":"predge-whale-intelligence-market-signals-by-condition-id-96db48c5","name":"Predge Whale Intelligence — Market Signals by Condition ID","description":"Real-time alerts on whale traders on Polymarket. Heuristic Insider Watch, wallet scoring 0–100, Bloomberg-style web terminal. Free plan included.","url":"https://api.predge.io/v1/signals/market/%7BconditionId%7D","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"properties":{"type":"string"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"basis":"6 edge-proven smart-money wallet(s) moved $143,000 net toward YES (82% of $225,000 smart volume) on this market in the last 24h.","market":{"title":"Will the Fed cut rates in September?","status":"active","category":"economics","platform":"polymarket","yes_price":0.62,"resolution":null,"resolved_at":null,"condition_id":"0x178a746e2b342c25b1d78d0f0d0ea77157c9b6d40b2e97ffbf827cd7f9994c39"},"direction":"yes","confidence":"high","smart_money":{"basis":"edge_lower_bound","definition":"smart money = a wallet whose luck-damped realized edge over the trailing window is positive (Wilson-95%-lower-bound(win rate) − avg entry price > min_edge_lower_bound), from RESOLVED outcomes — not the opaque scorer score","min_trades":10,"min_volume_usd":1000,"edge_window_days":30,"qualifying_wallets":474,"min_edge_lower_bound":0},"net_flow_usd":143000,"smart_no_usd":41000,"window_hours":24,"smart_wallets":6,"smart_yes_usd":184000,"insufficient_data":false,"smart_whale_volume_usd":225000,"total_whale_volume_usd":412000}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_clqC2aN_4OG2bEPdVBw0r","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns real-time smart-money whale trading signals for a specific Polymarket prediction market, including net flow direction, confidence, and qualifying wallet metrics.","exampleAgentPrompt":"Check Predge for whale signals on the Polymarket market with condition ID 0x178a746e2b342c25b1d78d0f0d0ea77157c9b6d40b2e97ffbf827cd7f9994c39 — tell me which direction smart money is leaning and how confident the signal is.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Fed rate cut market whale check","prompt":"Pull the Predge smart-money signals for the 'Will the Fed cut rates in September?' market on Polymarket — condition ID 0x178a746e2b342c25b1d78d0f0d0ea77157c9b6d40b2e97ffbf827cd7f9994c39 — and tell me if whales are net buying YES or NO and how strong the signal is."},{"title":"Pre-trade whale validation","prompt":"Before I put money on this prediction market, check Predge for whale intelligence on condition ID 0xabc123... and tell me how many smart-money wallets have traded it in the last 24 hours and what the net flow direction looks like."},{"title":"Automated prediction market signal monitor","prompt":"Every hour, fetch Predge whale signals for condition ID 0xdef456... and alert me if the smart-money direction flips or if net flow exceeds $100,000 in either direction."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing: a human-readable basis summary, market metadata (title, status, category, yes/no price, resolution), a directional signal (YES/NO), confidence level (high/medium/low), smart money definition parameters, net flow in USD, smart wallet count, smart and total whale volume breakdown over the specified window, and a flag indicating whether data was insufficient.","failureModes":["Invalid or unknown conditionId returns an error or empty result","Market not tracked on Polymarket returns no data","Insufficient trading activity sets insufficient_data: true and may return no directional signal","Network or rate-limit errors from the API","Payment not provided or rejected (x402 payment required error)"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need quantitative smart-money intelligence for a specific Polymarket prediction market identified by its condition ID. It is purpose-built for whale flow analysis with statistically validated wallet scoring (Wilson-95% lower bound on realized edge), making it superior to generic on-chain analytics or raw order book data when you want a pre-computed directional signal with confidence grading.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-15T06:45:49.383Z","isFirstParty":false}