{"uid":"cap_MWcOpdE89ucAR6RoCeHCf","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5173769d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer","default":20,"maximum":100,"minimum":1,"description":"Maximum number of items to return per page (1-100)"},"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"},"cursor":{"type":"string","description":"Opaque pagination cursor for fetching the next page"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_UaCtvC4EOSvXgNGTYyfjk","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for a Fed interest rate cut in 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Live election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see Yes/No percentages, volume, and whether whales are leaning heavily one way."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event monitoring","prompt":"What's Polymarket currently showing for the odds of a Bitcoin spot ETF approval in the next 90 days? Give me the orderbook implied probability and trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market research","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around the EU AI Act or major AI regulation passing this year — I need the implied probabilities and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader behavior for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic resolves to multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match data","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is experiencing latency","Payment failure via x402 protocol if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting if too many requests are made in quick succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced implied probabilities for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events from Polymarket's prediction market — especially when you want orderbook depth, volume signals, and whale sentiment rather than just a headline odds number. Prefer this over news sentiment analysis when you want market-priced probability estimates rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:37.325Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}