{"uid":"cap_MPp6vDLnWerYtej1So0Z0","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-de9809ff","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_0BQXGoLiY5joE0bi1Z5u7","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September?' — include volume and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for 'Will Bitcoin hit $100k by end of 2025?' — I want the implied Yes probability, current volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a US recession in 2025? Give me the Yes/No implied odds and any notable whale orderflow."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live odds on any active markets related to AI regulation or the EU AI Act passing — I want to see implied probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probability percentages, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the wrong market","Payment failure via x402 protocol — 402 response if USDC balance insufficient","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity for the queried event"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events specifically from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer it over news sentiment tools when you want market-implied probabilities with volume and whale orderflow context rather than qualitative sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:34:04.022Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}