{"uid":"cap_MLmNRBIFTbEIYBwRQ-Sl4","slug":"whale-momentum-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-3e1e3029","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://whale-momentum.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://whale-momentum.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_gXuanH2I_sqd3mn279QjL","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"whale-momentum.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"whale-momentum-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://whale-momentum.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability right now for 'US recession in 2025' — include whale sentiment and trading volume if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds on who wins the 2026 US midterms — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and any big whale activity on that market."},{"title":"Crypto event market monitoring","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket implied probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $100k this year? Give me the current orderbook sentiment and volume."},{"title":"Fed rate cut prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the odds that the Fed cuts interest rates in Q3 2025 — show me the Yes probability and whether whales are heavily positioned."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market question(s).","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most relevant or a list","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or error","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment must succeed before data is returned","Very low-volume or newly created markets may have sparse orderbook data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events, particularly when you want market-implied odds (not just news sentiment) and whale positioning signals. Prefer this over news APIs or social sentiment tools when you need a quantified probability backed by real money at stake on Polymarket.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:21.846Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"whale-momentum-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-363615d3"}