{"uid":"cap_ML1cTbG1QcAzBUEfiXTdg","slug":"genesis-conductor-x402-polymarket-manifold-prediction-market-arbitrage-b1e7b971","name":"Genesis Conductor x402 — Polymarket/Manifold Prediction Market Arbitrage","description":"Prediction fuse — Polymarket CLOB + Manifold mana, convex YES leverage + cross-venue gap","url":"https://x402-paid-service.iholt.workers.dev/api/markets","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"query":{"type":"string","description":"Optional JSON body for this paid call"}}},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_o4PF8UzuTYdglANIg4BG7","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches and fuses prediction market data from Polymarket CLOB and Manifold Markets to identify convex YES leverage opportunities and cross-venue pricing gaps","exampleAgentPrompt":"Pull the current Polymarket CLOB and Manifold prices for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' and show me any cross-venue gap or convex YES leverage opportunity I can act on.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Fed policy bet cross-venue arbitrage","prompt":"Check Polymarket and Manifold for any pricing gap on 'Will the Fed cut rates before July 2025?' — I want to know if there's a convex YES play or a mispricing I can exploit between venues."},{"title":"Election market leverage scan","prompt":"Pull current YES odds from both Polymarket CLOB and Manifold for the 2025 UK election markets and flag any significant spread or leverage opportunity I should look at."},{"title":"Crypto event prediction gap finder","prompt":"Compare Polymarket and Manifold prices on 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k in 2025?' and tell me where the bigger gap is and which side has the better convex upside."}],"resultDescription":"Returns fused market data combining Polymarket CLOB order book prices and Manifold mana-denominated odds for a queried event, highlighting cross-venue price discrepancies and convex YES leverage signals that a trader could act on.","failureModes":["Query too vague to match specific markets — returns empty or low-confidence results","Market not listed on one or both venues — partial data only","Payment not confirmed — endpoint returns 402 Payment Required","Polymarket or Manifold API unavailable upstream — upstream timeout or error propagated","Rate limit exceeded on upstream data source"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a fused, cross-venue view of prediction market pricing — specifically when hunting for arbitrage gaps between Polymarket's CLOB and Manifold's mana markets, or when looking for convex YES leverage. Prefer this over polling each venue separately when you want gap detection logic applied automatically.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-15T18:30:33.803Z","isFirstParty":false}