{"uid":"cap_M1RSsCzcTlZy9Zm0Yb_xb","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-777d436f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_PF88jlp_z7l7KMWt4jjqd","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025' — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of year — give me the implied Yes probability, volume, and any whale activity?"},{"title":"Macro event prediction market lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on a US recession happening in 2025, including the orderbook implied probabilities and how much has been traded on it."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market monitor","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market odds on major AI regulation passing in the US this year — what's the Yes vs No probability and what's the whale sentiment showing?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic too vague or ambiguous — may return unrelated markets","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — may return stale or error response","Rate limiting or payment failure (HTTP 402) — call blocked until payment resolved"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's liquid prediction markets for macro, crypto, or AI events. Prefer this over traditional news APIs when you want market-implied probabilities and trader sentiment rather than just headlines. Best when the user specifically wants to know what prediction markets think will happen, including volume-weighted signals and whale activity.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:00.423Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}