{"uid":"cap_M-MOUdEDWnl_veNZLiJna","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e4df32b4","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_T7Ka43MckLIw5RSgOhvrL","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for the Fed cutting rates at the next FOMC meeting — include volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket Yes/No probabilities and trading volume for the 2024 US presidential election — who does the market think will win?"},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest implied probability and whale sentiment on Bitcoin hitting $100k before the end of the year."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction odds","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket probability for major AI regulation passing in the US this year? Give me the orderbook odds and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns structured Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages), 24h trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API rate limit or downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Vague or ambiguous topic string matches multiple unrelated markets — returns unexpected market","x402 payment failure results in 402 response and no data returned","Topic string too short or generic triggers schema validation error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer it over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money. Best for time-sensitive decision support where Polymarket has an active market.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T06:43:07.354Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}