{"uid":"cap_LLdOFoK3N6QfykJlxVy7I","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2c5a9320","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_TzvbECQI8SZbSzNbltPDZ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September 2025'? Show me the volume and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds for 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k by end of 2025' — I want the implied Yes probability and any whale sentiment signals right now."},{"title":"Macro policy market research","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of a US recession starting before Q4 2025? Include the trading volume so I can gauge how liquid the market is."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"Check live Polymarket odds on 'Will the EU AI Act enforcement begin before July 2025' — I need the Yes/No probabilities and current orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Topic keyword too vague — may return unrelated or low-relevance markets","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causing stale or failed responses","Payment failure via x402 resulting in HTTP 402 error before data is returned","Ambiguous topic matching multiple markets with conflicting probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market, especially for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related events. It is the right choice when you want market-implied odds rather than analyst forecasts, and when whale sentiment or trading volume context is needed to assess conviction behind a probability estimate.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:24.488Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}