{"uid":"cap_LK8rlzoFx-at8ElTQbWaW","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8c9d241c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_fQGuuLBAJHp_cbAR2k8cC","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — including volume and what whales are betting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for whether Ethereum ETF staking will be approved this year — I want the implied Yes probability, volume, and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro recession market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US recession in 2025? Give me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction tracking","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket orderbook for whether AGI will be announced by any major lab before 2026 — I want the current implied probabilities and market activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the most popular match rather than the intended one","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or timeout if the upstream Polymarket data feed is slow"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events specifically from Polymarket's orderbook — including volume context and whale activity. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities rather than opinions, and over static data sources when you need live, up-to-the-minute odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:48:10.325Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}