{"uid":"cap_LE2ZBmtrfsRVCk2QxMV2F","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-70b51ee2","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_39ydCslwULUVlX4l-KkG1","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic keyword or question","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on whether the Fed will cut interest rates this quarter — show me the Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Track election outcome probabilities","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket odds on the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see the live Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is trading."},{"title":"Monitor crypto price prediction markets","prompt":"What does Polymarket show for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of 2025? Give me the latest implied probability and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Check AI policy event odds","prompt":"What are traders currently pricing on Polymarket for the US passing major AI regulation this year — show me the live odds and orderbook data."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related prediction markets.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket markets — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple unrelated markets — results may be noisy","Polymarket API downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Rate limiting or payment failure (HTTP 402) blocks the request","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity, making odds unreliable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, political, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want market-implied odds (not just news sentiment) and whale trading signals. Prefer this over news search when you want a single quantified probability rather than qualitative coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:46.309Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}