{"uid":"cap_LDAl_b2TdfERbyjskixQ6","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-01e139a9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_yp3nlVQS056snQDalANS7","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? Include volume and whale sentiment.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Fed rate cut probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? I want the Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment data."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for a spot Ethereum ETF approval — what's the current Yes probability and how much volume is trading on that market?"},{"title":"AI regulation event sentiment","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket betting on for the next major US AI regulation bill passing? Give me the implied probabilities and whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction markets.","failureModes":["Topic keyword does not match any active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure","Vague or ambiguous topic string returns unrelated market data","Payment not completed via x402 — returns HTTP 402 Payment Required","Market has resolved or closed — returns historical rather than live data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-wisdom probabilities from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro events (FOMC, elections, recession), crypto milestones (ETF approvals, protocol upgrades), or AI policy events. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and volume, rather than media tone. Best for agents that need a quantitative probability estimate from decentralized prediction markets rather than qualitative analyst opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:59.146Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}