{"uid":"cap_L6r7QqsdEc0NlR5rcIcnJ","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-70b44956","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_TvazcyZz7OZ8EDUNhVD_y","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed interest rate cut in 2025 — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $100k this year — I want to see the implied Yes probability, volume, and any whale accumulation signals."},{"title":"Macro political event monitoring","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a US recession before end of 2025? Give me the live Yes/No implied probabilities and market depth."},{"title":"AI regulatory event sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets around US AI regulation or an AI safety executive order — I want the current odds and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, whale buy/sell sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata such as event name and liquidity depth.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causing stale or failed data fetch","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — may return the wrong market","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders. Prefer this over news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities and whale orderflow rather than qualitative sentiment. Best suited for financial research agents, trading signal pipelines, or event-driven decision systems that require live prediction market data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:31:49.329Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}