{"uid":"cap_L1Sq0HtdCgIzKErm3jvO6","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-0c344914","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Pwy_jMzYnDdX4O0DyJpEc","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for a Fed rate cut in 2025 — give me the Yes/No implied probabilities, current volume, and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want the current Yes/No implied probabilities and trading volume for the top candidates."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of a spot Ethereum ETF being approved this year? Give me the implied odds and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro recession probability monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a US recession in 2025 — I want the live Yes/No odds and how much volume is behind it."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (0–100%), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating large-holder positioning on the event outcome.","failureModes":["Topic not found on Polymarket — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return multiple or incorrect markets","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting — returns 503 or timeout","Payment failure via x402 — returns 402 Payment Required if USDC micropayment not processed","Stale data if orderbook has low liquidity or market has resolved"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need live, crowd-sourced probability data for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over traditional news or analyst sources when you want real-money implied odds rather than opinion-based forecasts. Best for agents that need quantified uncertainty estimates backed by actual trading volume and whale-positioning signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:27.049Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}