{"uid":"cap_KzKYlqhFbeXpu-Tl67Uz4","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-69f2f96f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_B8MrEwDkgzjneP_g7IpnM","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for the Fed cutting interest rates before the end of the year — including trading volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied Yes/No probabilities and orderbook volume for 'US recession in 2025' — I want to see what the market is pricing in right now."},{"title":"Crypto milestone odds lookup","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that Bitcoin reaches $150,000 this year? Give me the implied probability and any whale sentiment you can see."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market check","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current odds on a major AI regulation bill passing in the US this year — I want the Yes/No probabilities and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-order activity on the relevant prediction market.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Payment failure via x402 micropayment protocol — endpoint returns HTTP 402 if payment not completed","Stale or unavailable orderbook data if Polymarket API is temporarily down","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return blended or first-matched result","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer it over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real financial stakes and whale activity. It is ideal for agents monitoring event-driven trading signals, building decision dashboards, or answering 'what does the market think will happen?' questions.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:09.239Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}