{"uid":"cap_KvyRQwG-E-DYnrP5WkB3z","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-95090f88","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_XXv6YYCqHN7VBPm2vbvTI","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI-related prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability that Bitcoin hits $100k before the end of this year? Give me the implied Yes/No odds, volume, and any whale activity."},{"title":"Election outcome market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2025 US Senate midterm elections — what's the implied probability for each side and how much volume is there?"},{"title":"AI regulation policy sentiment","prompt":"What are prediction market traders on Polymarket currently saying about the chances of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? Show me the implied probabilities and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried event or topic. The response reflects real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic too vague or ambiguous, returning mismatched market data","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable, causing stale or failed response","Payment not completed (HTTP 402), blocking data retrieval","Rate limiting or quota exceeded on the underlying data feed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events from Polymarket's live prediction markets. Prefer this over news APIs or LLM knowledge when you need quantified market-implied probabilities, orderbook depth, trading volume, or whale positioning. Ideal for agents that need to factor market sentiment into decision-making or reporting.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:42.650Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}