{"uid":"cap_KiNMmUMa2SI8n9_fwbLPL","slug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d2722219","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_NqSywKAD5nh68fSlf8ClZ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession in 2025, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the Republican candidate wins the 2024 US presidential election? Show me the Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event monitoring","prompt":"Fetch the live Polymarket orderbook and implied odds for a spot Bitcoin ETF approval in the next 6 months — I want to see volume and whether big traders are leaning yes or no."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market query","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of the EU AI Act passing in its current form? Give me the implied probability and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, 24h trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for macro, crypto, or AI events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Stale or delayed orderbook data if Polymarket API is experiencing latency","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the wrong or a blended result","Payment failure via x402/USDC if wallet balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or upstream Polymarket API downtime causing service unavailability"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events as reflected by actual money on the line in Polymarket prediction markets. It is ideal for agents that need to surface market-implied odds rather than model-based forecasts, and for monitoring whale/volume signals alongside probability.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:44.203Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d2722219"}