{"uid":"cap_KVd71xY63Sn3eIlAbEgar","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-317e2310","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_NtWqs5m8wj79nkyfcmyA7","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for the Fed cutting interest rates this month — and is there any whale activity or volume signal worth noting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability of Bitcoin hitting $100K before the end of 2025 — give me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"US election outcome odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see who traders are betting on and how strong the signal is."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied probabilities around the EU AI Act enforcement timeline, and are there any whale trades pushing the odds in one direction?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live orderbook data from Polymarket for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader activity on the relevant prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or error response","Market topic has low liquidity — probabilities may be unreliable or spread is wide","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — endpoint returns upstream error","Query returns stale data if market has recently resolved or been delisted","Payment failure via x402 — call not executed if USDC micropayment not processed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from active prediction market traders, especially for macro events, crypto milestones, AI policy, or geopolitical questions. It is preferred over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by financial stakes. Best used when you want to understand what informed traders are actually betting on, not just what pundits are saying.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:40.450Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}