{"uid":"cap_K4E-4GrP0-TAaWJiNpihD","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-1b0c99f7","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_0rZXjrQEHIsxU8br09doy","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probability for a US Fed rate cut before the end of the year — also show me whale sentiment and recent volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied yes/no probabilities and any whale sentiment signals right now."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a Bitcoin spot ETF approval — give me the implied probability and volume data."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around the US AI regulation bill passing this session — I want the current odds and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, and whale sentiment indicators for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API upstream outage or rate limiting causing stale or missing data","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — results may mix unrelated events","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — returns 402 Payment Required"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket prediction markets for macro, crypto, political, or AI events, especially when you want implied probabilities and whale order-flow sentiment rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:19.019Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}