{"uid":"cap_JVa4MHI7UTrTBPD1ms_H6","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1b93fe32","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_FTrTPUIZ7rJSuT2vIldYV","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probabilities right now for a US recession in 2025 — including trading volume and what the whale sentiment looks like?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — I want to see the implied yes probability, volume, and what large traders are positioned on."},{"title":"Political event market odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of Donald Trump winning the 2026 midterm influence — give me the live yes/no odds and whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability that GPT-5 or a major frontier AI model gets released before Q3 2025, including the orderbook volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic too vague to match a specific market — may return multiple ambiguous results","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout","Payment not processed — HTTP 402 response if x402 USDC micropayment fails","Rate limiting or quota exceeded for the endpoint"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events and want to surface what prediction market participants — including large whale traders — are actually betting on, rather than relying on analyst forecasts or news sentiment alone.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:44.019Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}