{"uid":"cap_J4oxbexXz5PfU7NRTqDEz","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a5c518","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_sN2ajCu1Ttnpcvw1BxQkV","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the US entering a recession in 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of Democrats winning the 2026 midterm elections? I want to see the Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Crypto market event odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook for Bitcoin hitting $150k before end of 2025 — give me the implied probability, volume, and what the big players are betting on."},{"title":"AI policy event monitoring","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that the EU AI Act enforcement triggers a major fine in 2025? I want the Yes probability and recent trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, and whale (large trader) sentiment indicators for the matched market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or no-match response","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or top-result data","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or failed data fetch","Very new or niche topics with low liquidity may return low-confidence odds","Network or payment (x402) failure resulting in HTTP 402 or timeout error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events, particularly when you want market-implied odds rather than model-based forecasts. Prefer this over news APIs when you need a quantified probability signal with volume and whale sentiment context. Best suited for agents doing event-driven analysis, trading research, or sentiment monitoring on Polymarket-listed markets.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:01.022Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}