{"uid":"cap_J1tqg9y961w0oeYNxWr9r","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-3801db0d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_6A3chGQSrWwrdvmkeeUzJ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, 24h volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Fed rate cut in 2025' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of the Democratic candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election? Give me the Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook odds for 'Bitcoin spot ETF approval in the US' — I want to see the implied yes probability, 24h volume, and whether whales are leaning yes or no."},{"title":"Macro recession prediction market","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a US recession starting before end of 2025 — show me the current yes/no odds and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), 24-hour trading volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-order activity in the relevant prediction market.","failureModes":["Topic not found on Polymarket — returns empty or null results if no matching market exists","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return unexpected or merged data","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting — endpoint may return errors or stale data","Payment failure (x402) — call rejected if micropayment is not properly submitted","Overly broad topic query returns low-confidence aggregated odds across many markets"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market, especially when you want implied probability percentages rather than subjective analyst forecasts. It is ideal for agents that need live market-derived sentiment, volume signals, and whale positioning for decision support or information display.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:18.413Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}