{"uid":"cap_IzfKSLbxpWiPBJsr3wk9_","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-24cf8681","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_-lJ2_11Ad0cFUGs4IPIeY","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI-related events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for Bitcoin ETF approval — including current volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Ethereum crossing $10k this year — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"Macro recession forecasting","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US recession in 2025? Give me the orderbook-implied odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI policy prediction monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the odds on major AI regulation passing in the US this year — I need the implied probabilities and market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, whale/large-trader sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the queried event or topic.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or not matching any active Polymarket market — returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — may return upstream error or stale data","Very niche or newly created markets may have thin orderbooks and unreliable implied probabilities","Payment failure via x402 protocol results in 402 response and no data returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events specifically from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks. Prefer this over general news sentiment APIs when you want financially-backed implied probabilities rather than qualitative opinion. Best when you need whale sentiment or volume-weighted market consensus rather than survey or poll data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:34:41.815Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}