{"uid":"cap_Iz4fzXcYguGRCRpE0pVNI","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-60516f55","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_THR7hg87zvUIPJxODaR_Z","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the FOMC cutting interest rates at the next meeting — and what's the whale sentiment look like?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision odds check","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket probability that the Fed cuts rates at the next FOMC meeting, and how much volume is behind that bet?"},{"title":"Crypto event probability lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied odds that Bitcoin hits $100k before the end of the year — include whale sentiment and orderbook pressure."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market query","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a US federal AI regulation bill passing this year? Give me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-order activity on the platform.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Payment not processed (x402 HTTP 402 response) if USDC micropayment is not included or fails","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is experiencing latency","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return the wrong or most liquid matching market","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning 429 or similar error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks for macro, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want implied probabilities, volume context, and whale sentiment rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news APIs or sentiment tools when you need quantitative market-derived probability data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:21.752Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}