{"uid":"cap_IyqkbT-G2eFv1ETyUcogs","slug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f8545f43","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_7YiZSPiIFsfBMixlwvu0g","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — including volume and what whale traders are betting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of this year, including how much volume is on that market."},{"title":"Election outcome sentiment tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Republican winning the 2026 Senate majority — show me the orderbook sentiment and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any prediction markets around AI regulation or an AI safety executive order in the next 6 months and give me the current implied probabilities and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for relevant macro, crypto, or AI prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — results may include irrelevant markets","Payment failure via x402 resulting in 402 response before data is returned","Rate limiting or timeout if the upstream Polymarket feed is under heavy load"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want not just odds but also volume and whale sentiment to gauge conviction. Prefer this over generic news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities rather than qualitative sentiment, and over static data sources when you need live orderbook data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:30.824Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f"}