{"uid":"cap_IuynJYVRWvhsUSJ2C1WYV","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_D32mwnMgCwxYivvLN3F_X","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut happening before the end of 2025?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability that Bitcoin reaches $150,000 before the end of this year? Give me the Yes/No odds and recent trading volume."},{"title":"US election outcome sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on who wins the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the implied probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI regulation policy market odds","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market odds that a major US AI regulation bill passes in 2025? I need the implied probability and orderbook volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return the wrong event's odds","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream data fetch failure","Topic string too short or generic — results may be low-relevance or noisy","Payment not processed (x402) — request blocked before reaching the data layer"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, political, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's live prediction market orderbooks — especially when you want implied Yes/No odds backed by actual financial stakes and whale-level trading volume, rather than poll-based or model-based forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:14.684Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}