{"uid":"cap_Ij_KAegbdYSH51gWNcUym","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ef3fa798","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_jyRhrGmH7Ki60K8wzqSRn","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025' — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want the implied Yes and No probabilities and the trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event odds","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket implied probability that the SEC approves a spot Ethereum ETF this year? Show me the orderbook sentiment and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI policy prediction tracking","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket currently betting on for 'EU AI Act enforcement begins in 2025'? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from orderbook prices, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or unavailable orderbook data if Polymarket API is experiencing downtime","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return unexpected market data","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not completed correctly","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning 429 or error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. It is ideal when you want market-implied probabilities rather than analyst forecasts, and when whale sentiment and orderbook depth are relevant signals. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you need a quantified probability (0-100%) rather than qualitative sentiment, and over static forecast services when you need live, continuously updated market data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:37:00.911Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}