{"uid":"cap_Ia-pp7pb6Z9V014lKHISJ","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d72268bd","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_pF_eu76RjWfVTbX-j5XoY","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for the Fed cutting rates in 2025 — including Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket prediction market odds for a Bitcoin spot ETF approval — I want to see the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Macro recession risk monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a US recession happening before the end of 2025? Include any whale sentiment data if available."},{"title":"AI policy market intelligence","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any prediction markets about AI regulation or an AI safety bill passing — what are the current implied probabilities and market volume?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for matching prediction markets.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may include multiple or unexpected markets","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causing upstream fetch failures","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not correctly handled by the calling agent","Stale data if orderbook feed has latency spikes from the underlying Polymarket source"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability signals from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market — especially for crypto, macro, or AI policy events where trader-implied odds and whale activity are more relevant than traditional forecasting. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want quantified market consensus probabilities with volume backing.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:06.532Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}