{"uid":"cap_IQ9oAAbEg0AW2yX9LerQl","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-88c19465","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_XUMsXaiy9Adt89Z-b43vK","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k before end of 2025 — include volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price milestone probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum hits $10k this year? Show me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Macro event prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket say about the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the live implied probabilities and volume."},{"title":"Political event forecasting","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds on who wins the next US presidential election — I want the Yes probability for each candidate and overall market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing the live Polymarket orderbook snapshot for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most popular match or a list","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Stale orderbook if Polymarket data stream is lagging — probabilities may not reflect the last trade","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — call blocked if x402 micropayment not included"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need live, crowd-sourced implied probabilities from Polymarket's real-money prediction markets for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want orderbook depth, volume context, and whale sentiment rather than simple news or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news APIs or sentiment tools when the user wants quantified market-implied odds backed by real capital at risk.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:49:56.164Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}