{"uid":"cap_IKSNONvdiq2TmnfVmS0OX","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-fcef45eb","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Y8wp7Ito4cNOCqyc4nlsW","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI-related events","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — I want to see yes/no probabilities, volume, and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will reach $150k by end of 2025 — I want the implied yes/no probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"Geopolitical risk assessment","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a US-China military conflict this year? Give me the implied probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI milestone market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around AGI or a major AI breakthrough in 2025 and tell me the current yes/no odds and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty results or low-confidence match","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure","Ambiguous topic yields multiple markets — may return top match or list of candidates","Payment not processed — HTTP 402 response blocking access","Very niche or newly created markets may have low volume and unreliable whale sentiment data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events specifically from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want financially-weighted implied probabilities and orderbook-level data rather than editorial sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:30:10.768Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}