{"uid":"cap_HurRoRuSlrecav-hq62mi","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-bb4aa4f6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_M2-ul8PY9I0kAliT6tCK7","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $150k before the end of 2025 — I want the implied Yes probability, current volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"US election prediction market snapshot","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the 2026 midterm election outcomes? Give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is behind these markets."},{"title":"Macro policy odds for trading decision","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket orderbook on whether the Fed will cut interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — I need the implied probabilities and whale activity before I make a trade."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API rate limit or upstream outage causes stale or missing orderbook data","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return top result or require more specific query","Payment failure (x402) if agent wallet lacks sufficient USDC balance","Malformed or missing 'topic' parameter returns a 400 validation error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time prediction market crowd wisdom — implied probabilities, volume depth, and whale sentiment — specifically from Polymarket's orderbook. Prefer this over general news search when you want probabilistic forecasts rather than narrative coverage, and over static datasets when live, current odds are required for trading signals, macro positioning, or event-driven decision-making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:04.916Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}