{"uid":"cap_Hn4CPWnZVp23QdNtoXGh_","slug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ff86dc9f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_0gP8TD6i3dBzTvzB1PpHQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession in 2025 — and what's the current whale sentiment on that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the Democratic candidate winning the 2026 midterms? I want the Yes/No odds and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook and implied probability for Bitcoin hitting $100k before the end of this year — including trading volume and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Fed rate cut in Q3 2025? Give me the Yes/No odds and overall market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or orderbook data unavailable — may return stale or error response","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return unexpected market data","Payment failure via x402 protocol — call blocked before data is returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — HTTP 429 or payment-gated error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket specifically, including orderbook depth and whale activity signals. Prefer this over general news sentiment or model-based forecasts when you want market-priced implied probabilities reflecting actual money on the line.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:50.052Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-4c3229d4"}