{"uid":"cap_HlPkWn7WbOiyAqFn2F5gM","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-7f063b7a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_VLS8ZBMlrDmKuD-kGgqnt","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed interest rate cut before the end of 2025, including whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for who wins the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the Yes/No breakdown and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of 2025? Give me the implied odds, volume, and what big traders are leaning toward."},{"title":"Macro event market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability of a US recession being declared in 2025 — I need the Yes/No percentages and whale orderflow sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-trader positioning on the relevant prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic too vague or ambiguous to resolve to a specific market — may return multiple unrelated markets","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure","Payment not processed (x402 flow failure) — endpoint returns 402 without data","Stale or low-liquidity market returned if the event has low trading activity"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from an active prediction market rather than sentiment scores, analyst forecasts, or news summaries. It is ideal when you want market-implied odds with volume and whale positioning context for macro, political, crypto, or AI events specifically listed on Polymarket.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:55.847Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}