{"uid":"cap_HeBlZ4En6b6D2aA55Ng4F","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-50362972","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.010000/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.010000","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.010000","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_zKAxYk8ax6FKRqdiLJyDK","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.010000","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for the Fed cutting rates at the next FOMC meeting — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any notable whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? I want the live Yes/No implied odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto event outcome odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin ETF approval — what's the implied probability of it passing, and is there any notable whale activity on either side?"},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active markets on US AI regulation or a major AI model release — what are the current Yes/No probabilities and overall market sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No active Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null odds","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match results","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — service may return stale or error response","Payment not processed — x402 payment failure blocks request","Topic string too vague to resolve to a specific market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-implied probabilities from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro events (Fed decisions, elections), crypto milestones (ETF approvals, price targets), or AI events. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-priced probability rather than opinion-based likelihood.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T06:43:55.541Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}